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    <title>UTas ePrints - Mangrove retreat with rising sea-level, Bermuda</title>
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    <meta content="Ellison, J.C." name="eprints.creators_name" />
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<meta content="Low island mangroves keep up with slow sea-level rise by peat accumulation. Holocene stratigraphic records show that they maintain the same pace as sea-level rise at rates up to 9 cm/100 years. Tide gauge records from Bermuda since 1932 show sea-level rise at a rate of 28 cm/100 years. The largest mangrove area  (6.26 acres) at Hungry Bay has for the last 2000 years been building peat at a rate of 8.5 to 10.6 cm/ 100 years. Retreat of the seaward edge has caused loss of 2.24 acres of mangroves, commencing in the last few hundred years, with a second dieback between 1900 and 1947, and a third dieback in the last decade. The substrate elevation of the seaward margin of mangroves is below mean sea-level, the normal lower limit for mangroves. Present dieback shows problems of erosion indicating that the Bruun Rule of beach erosion with sea-level rise is also appropriate for mangrove swamps. Stratigraphy shows that before 4000 BP sea-level rose at a rate of 25 cm/ 100 years, from 4000 to 1000 years BP the rate of sea-level rise declined to 6 cm/ 100 years during which time mangroves established, and in the last 1000 years there was an increase to 14.3 cm/ 100 years, during which time the mangroves died back. This study indicates that low island mangroves will experience problems with the rates of sea-level rise predicted for the next 50 years." name="eprints.abstract" />
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<meta content="Barnett, T. P. 1984. The estimation of global sea level change: a problem of uniqueness. Journal of Geophysical Research 89, 7980-7988.

Bruun, P. 1962.  Sea level rise as a cause of shore erosion. Journal of the Waterways and Harbors Division, Proceedings of the American Society of Civil Engineers 88, 117-130.

Challinor, D. and Wingate, D. B. 1971. The struggle for survival of the Bermuda cedar. Biological Conservation 3, 220-222.

Childers, D. L. &amp; Day, J. W. 1990. The dilution and loss of wetland function with conversion to open water. Wetlands Ecology and Management 1, 1-9.

Cintron, G., Lugo A. E., Pool, D. J., &amp; Morris, G. 1978. Mangroves of arid environments of Puerto Rico and adjacent islands. Biotropica 10, 110-121.

Clark, D. J. &amp; Eliot, I. G. 1983. Mean sea-level and beach-width variations at Scarborough, Western Australia. Marine Geology 51, 251-267.

Committee on Engineering Implications of Changes in Relative Mean Sea Level 1987. Responding to Changes in Sea Level: Engineering implications. Washington, National Academy Press, 148 pp.

DeLaune, R. D., Baumann, R. H. &amp; Gosselink, J. G. 1983. Relationships among vertical accretion, coastal submergence and erosion in a Louisiana Gulf Coast marsh. Journal of Sedimentary Petrology 53, 147-157.

DeLaune, R. D., Whitcombe, J. H., Patrick, W. H., Pardue, J. H. &amp; Pezeshki, S. R. 1989. Accretion and canal impacts in a rapidly subsiding wetland. 1. 137Cs and 210Pb techniques. Estuaries 12, 247-259.

Ellison, J. C. 1989. Pollen analysis of mangrove sediments as a sea level indicator: Assessment from Tongatapu, Tonga. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 74, 327-341.

Ellison, J. C. &amp; Stoddart, D. R. 1991. Mangrove ecosystem collapse with predicted sea-level rise: Holocene analogues and implications. Journal of Coastal Research 7, 151-165.

Emanuel, K. A. 1987. The dependence of hurricane intensity on climate. Nature 326, 483-485.

Froomer, N. L. 1980. Morphological changes in some Chesapeake Bay tidal marshes resulting from accelerated soil erosion. Zeitschrift für Geomorphologie, N.F. Supplement band  34, 242-254.

Gehrels, W. R. &amp; Leatherman, S. P. 1989. Sea-level rise- Animator and terminator of coastal marshes: An annotated bibliography on U.S. coastal marshes and sea-level rise. Vance Bibliographies Public Administration Series P 2634, 1-39.

Gibbs, R. J. 1977. Effect of combustion temperature and time, and the oxidation agent used in organic carbon and nitrogen analyses of sediments and dissolved organic material. Journal of Sedimentary Petrology 47, 547-550.

Gornitz, V. 1991. Global coastal hazards from future sea-level rise. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology (Global and Planetary Change Section) 89, 379-398.

Gosselink, J. G. &amp; Baumann, R. H. 1980. Wetland inventories: Wetland loss along the United States coast. Zeitschrift für Geomorphologie, N.F. Supplement band 34, 173-187.

Guilcher, A. 1981. Shoreline changes in salt marshes and mangrove swamps (mangals) within the past century. In Coastal Dynamics and Scientific Sites (E. F. C. Bird and K. Koike eds.), pp. 31-53.

Hands, H. B. 1979. Changes in rates of shore retreat, Lake Michigan, 1967-1976. Technical paper 79-4. U. S. Army Corps. of Engineers, Coastal Engineering Research Center, Champaign, Illinois, 71 pp.

Healey, R. G., Pye, K., Stoddart, D. R., &amp; Bayliss-Smith, T. P. 1981. Velocity variations in salt marsh creeks, Norfolk, England. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 13, 535-545.

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 1990. Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 365 pp.

IUCN (International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources) 1989. The Impact of Climatic Change and Sea Level Rise on Ecosystems. Report for the Commonwealth Secretariat, London, 27 pp.

Jimenez, J. A., Martinez, R. &amp; Encarnacion, L. 1985. Massive tree mortality in a Puerto Rican mangrove forest. Caribbean Journal of Science 21, 75-78.

Johnson, S. 1984. Relationship between Ordnance and Chart Datums. Memorandum 30/202, Public Works Department, Bermuda, 2 pp. (unpublished).

Leatherman, S. P. 1987. Beach and shoreface response to sea-level rise: Ocean City, Maryland, U.S.A. Progress in Oceanography 18, 139-149.

Leatherman, S. P., 1989. Response of sandy beaches to sea level rise. In Late Quaternary Sea-Level Correlation and Applications (Scott, D. B., Pirazzoli, P. A. and Honig, C. A., eds.),Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp. 57-69.

Morris, B., Barnes, J., Brown, F., &amp; Markham, J. 1977. The Bermuda marine environment. Bermuda Biological Station Special Publication 15, 120p.

Neumann, A. C. 1971. Quaternary sea level data from Bermuda. Quaternaria 14, 41-43.

Pearson, G. W. &amp; Stuiver, M. 1986. High-precision calibration of the radiocarbon timescale, 500-2500 BC. Radiocarbon 28, 2B, 839-862.

Philips, J. D. 1986. Coastal submergence and fringe marsh erosion. Journal of Coastal Research 2, 427-436.

Pirazzoli, P. A. 1986. Secular trends of relative sea-level (RSL) changes indicated by tide-gauge records. Journal of Coastal Research 1, 1-126.

Redfield, A. C. 1967. Postglacial change in sea-level in the western North Atlantic Ocean. Science 157, 687-692.

Reed, D. J. 1988. Sediment dynamics and deposition in a retreating coastal salt marsh. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 26, 67-79.

Salinas, L. M., DeLaune, R. D. and Patrick, W. H. 1986. Changes occurring along a rapidly submerging coastal area: Louisiana, USA. Journal of Coastal Research 2, 269-294.

Schwartz, M. L. 1968. The scale of shore erosion. Journal of Geology 76, 508-517.

Schwartz, M. L. 1967. The Bruun theory of sea level rise as a cause of shore erosion.  Journal of Geology 75, 76-92.

Stewart, R. W., Kjerfve, B., Milliman, J. &amp; Dwivedi, S. N. 1990. Relative sea-level change: a critical evaluation. UNESCO Reports in Marine Science 54, 22 p.

Swift, D. J. P. 1968. Coastal erosion and transgressive stratigraphy. Journal of Geology 76, 444-456.

Thomas, M. L. H. 1992. Mangrove swamps. In Thomas, M.L.H. and Logan, A., A Guide to the Ecology of Shoreline and Shallow-Water Marine Communities of Bermuda. Bermuda Biological Station Special Publication 30, 153-187.

Vacher, H. L. and Hearty, P. 1989. History of Stage 5 sea level in Bermuda: Review with new evidence of a brief rise to present sea level during substage 5a. Quaternary Science Reviews 8, 159-168.

Wanless, H. R. 1982. Sea level is rising- So what? Journal of Sedimentary Petrology 52, 1051-1054.

Woodroffe, C. D. 1981. Mangrove swamp stratigraphy and Holocene transgression, Grand Cayman Island, West Indies. Marine Geology 41, 271-294.
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<meta content="Low island mangroves keep up with slow sea-level rise by peat accumulation. Holocene stratigraphic records show that they maintain the same pace as sea-level rise at rates up to 9 cm/100 years. Tide gauge records from Bermuda since 1932 show sea-level rise at a rate of 28 cm/100 years. The largest mangrove area  (6.26 acres) at Hungry Bay has for the last 2000 years been building peat at a rate of 8.5 to 10.6 cm/ 100 years. Retreat of the seaward edge has caused loss of 2.24 acres of mangroves, commencing in the last few hundred years, with a second dieback between 1900 and 1947, and a third dieback in the last decade. The substrate elevation of the seaward margin of mangroves is below mean sea-level, the normal lower limit for mangroves. Present dieback shows problems of erosion indicating that the Bruun Rule of beach erosion with sea-level rise is also appropriate for mangrove swamps. Stratigraphy shows that before 4000 BP sea-level rose at a rate of 25 cm/ 100 years, from 4000 to 1000 years BP the rate of sea-level rise declined to 6 cm/ 100 years during which time mangroves established, and in the last 1000 years there was an increase to 14.3 cm/ 100 years, during which time the mangroves died back. This study indicates that low island mangroves will experience problems with the rates of sea-level rise predicted for the next 50 years." name="DC.description" />
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    <h1 class="ep_tm_pagetitle">Mangrove retreat with rising sea-level, Bermuda</h1>
    <p style="margin-bottom: 1em" class="not_ep_block"><span class="person_name">Ellison, J.C.</span> (1993) <xhtml:em>Mangrove retreat with rising sea-level, Bermuda.</xhtml:em> Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science, 37 (1). pp. 75-87.</p><p style="margin-bottom: 1em" class="not_ep_block"></p><table style="margin-bottom: 1em" class="not_ep_block"><tr><td valign="top" style="text-align:center"><a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/2215/1/ECSS1993.pdf"><img alt="[img]" src="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/style/images/fileicons/application_pdf.png" class="ep_doc_icon" border="0" /></a></td><td valign="top"><a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/2215/1/ECSS1993.pdf"><span class="ep_document_citation">PDF</span></a> - Full text restricted - Requires a PDF viewer<br />577Kb</td><td><form method="get" accept-charset="utf-8" action="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/cgi/request_doc"><input accept-charset="utf-8" value="2764" name="docid" type="hidden" /><div class=""><input value="Request a copy" name="_action_null" class="ep_form_action_button" onclick="return EPJS_button_pushed( '_action_null' )" type="submit" /> </div></form></td></tr></table><p style="margin-bottom: 1em" class="not_ep_block">Official URL: <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1006/ecss.1993.1042">http://dx.doi.org/10.1006/ecss.1993.1042</a></p><div class="not_ep_block"><h2>Abstract</h2><p style="padding-bottom: 16px; text-align: left; margin: 1em auto 0em auto">Low island mangroves keep up with slow sea-level rise by peat accumulation. Holocene stratigraphic records show that they maintain the same pace as sea-level rise at rates up to 9 cm/100 years. Tide gauge records from Bermuda since 1932 show sea-level rise at a rate of 28 cm/100 years. The largest mangrove area  (6.26 acres) at Hungry Bay has for the last 2000 years been building peat at a rate of 8.5 to 10.6 cm/ 100 years. Retreat of the seaward edge has caused loss of 2.24 acres of mangroves, commencing in the last few hundred years, with a second dieback between 1900 and 1947, and a third dieback in the last decade. The substrate elevation of the seaward margin of mangroves is below mean sea-level, the normal lower limit for mangroves. Present dieback shows problems of erosion indicating that the Bruun Rule of beach erosion with sea-level rise is also appropriate for mangrove swamps. Stratigraphy shows that before 4000 BP sea-level rose at a rate of 25 cm/ 100 years, from 4000 to 1000 years BP the rate of sea-level rise declined to 6 cm/ 100 years during which time mangroves established, and in the last 1000 years there was an increase to 14.3 cm/ 100 years, during which time the mangroves died back. This study indicates that low island mangroves will experience problems with the rates of sea-level rise predicted for the next 50 years.</p></div><table style="margin-bottom: 1em" cellpadding="3" class="not_ep_block" border="0"><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Item Type:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">Article</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Additional Information:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">Definitive version is available online at http://www.sciencedirect.com/</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Subjects:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row"><a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/view/subjects/300801.html">300000 Agricultural, Veterinary and Environmental Sciences &gt; 300800 Environmental Sciences &gt; 300801 Environmental Management and Rehabilitation</a></td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">ID Code:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">2215</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Deposited By:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row"><span class="ep_name_citation"><span class="person_name">Dr Joanna Ellison</span></span></td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Deposited On:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">18 Oct 2007 14:52</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">Last Modified:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row">09 Jan 2008 02:30</td></tr><tr><th valign="top" class="ep_row">ePrint Statistics:</th><td valign="top" class="ep_row"><a target="ePrintStats" href="/es/index.php?action=show_detail_eprint;id=2215;">View statistics for this ePrint</a></td></tr></table><p align="right">Repository Staff Only: <a href="http://eprints.utas.edu.au/cgi/users/home?screen=EPrint::View&amp;eprintid=2215">item control page</a></p>
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